Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000099 0.000109 0.000120 0.000132 0.000145 0.000159 0.000176
2025-12-28 0.000080 0.000095 0.000111 0.000132 0.000156 0.000185 0.000222
2026-01-04 0.000069 0.000086 0.000106 0.000132 0.000167 0.000209 0.000267
2026-01-11 0.000060 0.000077 0.000100 0.000131 0.000172 0.000227 0.000305
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000072 0.000097 0.000131 0.000180 0.000248 0.000349
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000067 0.000092 0.000129 0.000184 0.000262 0.000385
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000063 0.000089 0.000129 0.000190 0.000280 0.000428
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000059 0.000085 0.000127 0.000192 0.000292 0.000463
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000055 0.000081 0.000124 0.000193 0.000303 0.000495
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000053 0.000080 0.000125 0.000200 0.000323 0.000546
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000051 0.000079 0.000127 0.000209 0.000347 0.000606
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000048 0.000076 0.000124 0.000209 0.000355 0.000639
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000044 0.000071 0.000120 0.000206 0.000359 0.000665
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000043 0.000070 0.000120 0.000212 0.000380 0.000728
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000041 0.000069 0.000121 0.000219 0.000404 0.000799
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000067 0.000119 0.000221 0.000418 0.000853
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000038 0.000066 0.000120 0.000227 0.000441 0.000928
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000036 0.000064 0.000118 0.000229 0.000455 0.000984
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000035 0.000062 0.000118 0.000233 0.000475 0.001058
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000116 0.000234 0.000487 0.001114
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000233 0.000496 0.001164
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000031 0.000057 0.000114 0.000240 0.000522 0.001262
2026-05-24 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000116 0.000249 0.000555 0.001381